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Summary of current season's economic situation analysis —2021Q1 - 臺北產經資訊網

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Summary of current season's economic situation analysis —2021Q1

Comprehensive analysis of the International Economic Outlook, Taiwan Economic Overview, and Taipei Econ Overview in the 2021Q1.

International Economic Outlook

According to EIU, IMF, OECD and other institutions to observe the performance of economic data in the first quarter of 2021: the annual GDP growth rate of the United States was 0.4%, the annual GDP growth rate of Japan declines by 1.9%, the annual GDP growth rate of the Eurozone declines by 1.8%, and the annual GDP growth rate of China 18.3%.

Unit:%

2021 Global Economic Growth Forecast Compiled Chart
  IMF
2021.04
(2021.01)
UN
2021.05
(2021.01)
IHS Markit
2021.05
(2021.04)
OECD
2021.05
(2021.03)
EIU
2021.05
(2021.04)
WB
2021.01
(2020.06)
region 2021 2022 2021 2022 2021 2022 2021 2022 2021 2022 2021 2022
Global  6.0 4.4 5.4 4.1 5.7 4.5 5.8 4.4 5.2 3.9 4.0 3.8
(5.5) (4.2) (4.7) (3.4) (5.3) (4.3) (5.6) (4.0) (5.1) (3.7) (4.2) (-)
USA  6.4 3.5 6.2 3.2 6.7 4.7 6.9 3.6 6.0 3.7 3.5 3.3
(5.1) (2.5) (3.4) (2.7) (6.2) (4.3) (6.5) (4.0) (5.5) (3.1) (4.0) (-)
JAPAN  3.3 2.5 3.3 2.2 2.6 2.1 2.6 2.0 2.9 2.7 2.5 2.3
(3.1) (2.4) (3.0) (1.8) (2.6) (1.9) (2.7) (1.8) (2.7) (2.6) (2.5) (-)
EURO  4.4 3.8 4.2 3.9 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.1 4.0 3.6 4.0
(4.2) (3.6) (5.0) (2.6) (3.9) (4.0) (3.9) (3.8) (4.2) (4.0) (4.5) (-)
CHINA  8.4 5.6 8.2 5.8 8.3 5.8 8.5 5.8 8.5 5.2 7.9 5.2
(8.1) (5.6) (7.2) (5.8) (7.9) (5.7) (7.8) (4.9) (8.5) (5.0) (6.9) (-)
World  8.4 6.5 9.4 5.7 - - 8.2 5.8 7.6 5.6 5.0 5.1
(8.1) (6.3) (6.9) (3.7) (-) (-) (-) (-) (7.0) (5.7) (5.3) (-)

 

Note:( )advance estimate.

Source:

  1. IMF:World Economic Outlook(April 6th 2021)
  2. UN:World Economic Situation and Prospects as of mid-2021(May 11th 2021)
  3. IHS Markit:Economic Outlook(May 18th 2021)
  4. OECD:OECD Economic Outlook(May 31th 2021)
  5. EIU:EIU Country Forecast World June 2021(forecast closing date:May 17th 2021)
  6. WB:Global Economic Prospects(January 5th 2021)
  7. Organized by the Department of Industrial Development of the Taiwan Institute of Economic Research.

Taiwan Economic Overview

Key domestic economic indicators for the first quarter of 2021:The real economic growth rate (GDP) is 8.92%.

Key domestic economic indicators in 2020 point to a real economic growth rate (GDP) of 3.11%. The export order volume rose by 42.90% to hit the second highest of US$ 148.97 billion, an increase of US$ 44.623 billion over the previous year. The export trade value reached a new high of US$ 97.943 billion, a year-on-year increase of 24.57%. The industrial production index and manufacturing industry production index climbed to 122.73 and 125.19, respectively. This represents a year-on-year rise of 12.97% and 13.97%.

Taiwan Economic Overview
Indicator Statistical interval Data YoY
GDP (%) 2021Q1 8.92
Export Orders
(US$ billion)
2021Q1 148.97 ▲42.90%
Custom Exports
(US$ hundred million)
2021Q1 979.43 ▲24.57%
Industrial Production Index in Taiwan 2021Q1 122.73 ▲12.97%

Taipei Econ Overview

As of the end of March 2021, a total of 239,918 businesses were registered in Taipei City. This number rose by 1,882 compared to the previous year, which represents a year-on-year increase of 0.79%. Firms registered in Taipei account for 14.72% of all businesses in Taiwan. The total registered capital of the Taipei City companies reaches13.2188 trillion, constituting 51.52% of the aggregate capital of all firms in Taiwan. 1,021 factories are currently registered in Taipei City, which is 30 less than last year.

The total actual number of companies and firms in Taipei City totals 239,680 had a sales volume of 2.3656 trillion in the first quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 8.89% compared to the previous year and accounts for 29.72% of the total sales volume of all Taiwanese businesses. The tertiary industry had a sales volume of 1.9192 trillion, making up 44.42% of the total sales of all tertiary businesses in Taiwan. Approved foreign investments in Taipei City amount to US$ 584 million, a decrease by 32.41% over 2020Q1. This amount accounts for 47.95% of all foreign investments in Taiwan. 65 newly established foreign companies were registered in Taipei City, which is 6 less than in 2020Q1.

Taiwan Econ Overview
Indicator Statistical interval Data YoY Percentage of total for the whole country
Industry & Business Registration
(Number)
March
(bottom value)
239,918 ▲1,882  14.72%
Total Capital of Companies Registered
(NT$ hundred million)
March
(bottom value)
132,188 ▲0.76% 51.52%
Factory Registration
 (Number)
March
(bottom value)
1,021 ▼30 10.80%
Number of Companies and Firms
(Number)
March
(bottom value)
239,680 ▲4,330 15.80%
Sales of Companies and Firms
 (NT$ hundred million)
Jan.–Mar.
(Cumulative value)
23,656 ▲8.89%  29.72%
 Sales of Tertiary Industry
(NT$ hundred million)
Jan.–Mar.
(Cumulative value)
19,192 ▲8.83% 44.42%
  Foreign Direct Investment
(US$ million)
Jan.–Mar.
(Cumulative value)
584 ▼32.41% 47.95%
Number of Newly Established Foreign Companies
 (Number)
Jan.–Mar.
(Cumulative value)
268 ▼77
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